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Sturgeon's nightmare! Now SNP may not even have a majority in May's elections – poll


The dwindling support came in one of two new surveys confirming a majority of Scots would vote to remain in the Union. They mirror the findings of a Daily Express poll this week showing 51 percent opposed to breaking away. Campaigners hailed the “rising support” for the 300-year-old bond between the home nations. A Savanta ComRes for the Scotsman found that 45 percent of respondents would back separation.

But 47 percent said they would vote No while 8 percent said they did not know.

When unsure voters were excluded, 51 percent said they would vote in favour of the Union while 49 percent would support independence.

A separate YouGov poll in the Times put support for the UK on 51 per ent, while 48 percent of Scots are opposed to another referendum being held before 2023.

This is compared with just 33 percent in favour.

The Daily Express is making the positive case for strengthening the UK with our Unite The Kingdom crusade.

Pamela Nash, chief executive of Scotland in Union, said: “There is a clear trend in rising support for remaining part of the UK.

“With a successful UK vaccination programme and UK-wide support for jobs and businesses, it’s clear that we are stronger together.

“The SNP’s negative vision to divide Scotland is being rejected.

“The people of Scotland want the focus to be on bringing our country together and building a successful future.”

Ms Sturgeon is demanding a re-run of the 2014 independence referendum if the SNP wins the forthcoming election.

However she has been rocked by a series of grim headlines amid a bitter feud with predecessor Alex Salmond.

The latest Savanta ComRes poll showed backing  for the Nationalists has plummeted since a previous poll in February.

They are now on 48 percent on the constituency vote, down six percentage points, and 40 percent on the regional list, down three points.

The Conservatives are in second place on 23 percent on the constituency vote, the same as last month, and 24 percent on the regional vote, up four percentage points.

Labour is up four points on constituency vote, giving it 20 percent, but has made no gains on the list at 18 percent.

It is estimated the results would leave the SNP with 64 seats, missing out on a majority by one seat.

The number of Conservative MSPs would fall from 31 to 30, and Labour would drop from 24 to 20.

The Liberal Democrats would retain their five MSPs while the pro-independence Scottish Greens would win four more seats.

However the poll in The Times predicted the SNP will retain a majority in the May election.

It projected that the party will return 71 MSPs, an increase of eight, which would give a majority of 13.

The number of Tory MSPs would drop by two to 29, while Labour would fall by four to 20, the Greens would drop one and return four MSPs while the Liberal Democrats would remain with five.

A Scottish Conservative spokesman said: “This shows that only a party list vote for the Scottish Conservatives can stop an SNP majority again and their plans for another divisive independence referendum.

“This will ensure our Scottish Parliament is 100 percent focused on our recovery from the pandemic.”

SNP campaign director Keith Brown said: “This is the most important election in Scotland’s history, and it comes down to a stark choice – who should decide the country’s future. Should it be the people of Scotland or Boris Johnson?

“Polls are tightening with the vital Scottish Parliamentary election in just eight weeks’ time – and there is no room for complacency.”


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